贵州茅台股票分析报告(贵州茅台股票分析报告论文)

2022-07-17 15:45:08 基金 xialuotejs

贵州茅台股票分析报告



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2022年7月15日,贵州茅台股价收于1949.50,市值2.5万亿,现对于过去*股价2603.41已经大幅度回落。到霸主地位依然岿然不动,其市值超过19家上市白酒企业的总和,轻松超越工商银行,宁德时代其他行业霸主,

“茅台”一度成为资本市场行业霸主的代名词。经常听到“药茅”“水泥茅台”“猪茅”等词汇,贵州茅台是1951年由三家烧坊合并而成,于2001年登录资本市场,从此以*之姿一路高歌猛进,上市当年总营收16.18亿,净利润3.28亿,此时的行业霸主五粮液在2001年营收47.42亿,净利润8.11亿,相当于是三倍的茅台。

贵州茅台2022年年度生产经营显示,2022年茅台基酒生产5.65万吨,系列基酒2.82吨,预计实现总收入1090亿元,同比增长11.2%,预计利润520亿元,同比增长11.3%,五粮液662.09亿元同比增长15.51%净利润233.77亿元同比增长17.15%,现在五粮液市值7371亿元,约为茅台市值的三分分之一。

贵州茅台上市20年,不仅实现了惊人的超越式增长;而且,发展到如此规模,依然没有遇到增长瓶颈,这头大象仍在高速狂奔。中国白酒市场,是一个高度内卷的行业,总产量在近十年下降了一半。但在这种挤压式增长中,产品线定位于高端、次高端的,都迎来了罕见的大幅增长。其中,贵州茅台是*赢家。而且,业内普遍认为,这种行业趋势将继续持续多年。

关于贵州茅台的成功秘笈,众说纷纭。但业界比较一致的看法是:贵州茅台的战略定位,非常成功,且从来没有发生变化。其始终把“打造*高端名酒”作为战略,没有发生过产业多元化等致命错误。自IPO以来,贵州茅台从未发生战略错误。持之以恒的战略定位、品牌建设,使其能稳坐中国高端、超高端白酒的金字塔尖。优质酱香白酒的口感,极具侵略性,市场份额增长神速,且酱香型基酒的优品率高达80%以上。贵州茅台目前的霸主地位,极其稳固,但这并不意味着其未来毫无隐忧。

茅台目前可以平庸地“躺赢”;也可以锐意进取,但从近期看,贵州茅台的江湖霸主地位,无人可以撼动。




大洋电机股票股吧

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17:01:14\",\"post_click_count\":1526,\"post_comment_count\":3,\"post_address\":null}],\"ret\":,\"ret_ad\":,\"ret_ad_type\":,\"count\":56378,\"bar_name\":\"大洋电机\",\"bar_code\":\"002249\",\"bar_quot_code\":\"SZ002249\",\"apis\":0,\"bar_rank\":517,\"stockbar_fans_count\":1902912,\"rc\":1,\"me\":\"操作成功\",\"time\":\"2019-06-16T13:11:20.3662109+08:00\"}

大洋电机吧(002249)

大洋电机吧

4.61-0.32-6.49%

帖子数2篇

非市场因素

影响力注册时长4.7年

发表于 06-15 21:08 来自iPhone版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 今天 12:58

已答

全球首例加氢站爆炸,丰田、现代决定停售氢能源汽车

眼哥哥厉害

影响力注册时长4.4年

发表于 06-15 21:02 来自Android版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 今天 12:41

已答

大洋电机周一大涨

股友RUy6He

影响力注册时长5天

发表于 今天 09:26 来自iPhone版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 今天 09:27

已答

今天要加仓,继续干

发表于 今天 09:12 来自iPhone版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 今天 09:14

已答

加氢站爆炸,氢能源是否安全

月夜精灵boy

影响力注册时长2.4年

发表于 06-14 21:41 来自股吧手机网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 21:43

已答

6月13日,减持358万股,大洋半年内别想上五元了……

港CUQ101

影响力注册时长3.8年

发表于 06-14 21:10 来自iPhone版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 21:10

已答

下周这货要减持了,今天发布了半年度预增利好消息

我只是渔夫

影响力注册时长1.4年

发表于 06-14 20:00 来自股吧网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 20:00

已答说好的中阳呢?

昨天收盘很多高手专家都说今天要中阳的

东方不败笑江湖

影响力注册时长3.2年

发表于 06-14 16:29 来自股吧网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 18:51

已答

周一来一个反包

静心之

影响力注册时长1个月

发表于 06-14 18:42 来自股吧手机网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 18:49

已答

一个垃圾股 高管套现发财 没搞好企业 还要减持 脸皮厚

股友5QsYs6

影响力注册时长3个月

发表于 06-14 17:19 来自股吧网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 17:20

已答我4.2元买的

我说得涨 也就赚了8个电

股友xq5K8d

影响力注册时长2个月

发表于 06-14 17:00 来自股吧手机网页版

帖子审核中,仅自己可见

更新于 06-14 17:01

已答

买上就亏,本6.82能给机会出吗

返回顶部

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贵州茅台股票分析报告2021

今日(6月24日),A股“股王”贵州茅台(SH699519,股价2009.01元,市值2.52万亿元)时隔5个月,股价再次站上2000元关口。

实际上,在经历去年下半年的股价集体下行后,白酒板块整体估值近两个月持续修复,中证白酒指数(BK0896)自4月26日以来一路上涨,涨幅达19.69%。

相关券商、行业分析师今日通过微信向《》

贵州茅台股价重回2000元

今日,贵州茅台股价在经历近5个月的调整后终于重回2000元以上,引起市场广泛关注。

事实上,自去年底茅台股价触及2216.96元/股后,便一路震荡下行,今年3月中旬跌至1650元/股左右;此后开始缓慢拉升,今日更是突破2000元/股的大关,盘中一度达到2020元/股,最终报收2009.01元/股,涨幅达2.65%。

对于茅台股价重回2000元,不少业内分析人士认为贵州茅台基本面向好,重回以往估值很正常。

长城证券金融研究所所长、大消费组长刘鹏向《》

白酒专家肖竹青对此表示认同,他补充称:“茅台一方面有业绩支撑,另一方面则是改革初见成效,让股民对未来充满了预期。首先是销售渠道的调整,直营市场的营收占比迅速提升;其次,推出‘i茅台’数字营销平台,短时间之内迅速成为热点,让更多人了解到茅台的门店地址、品牌文化,对茅台的保真销售、防伪宣导起到积极的作用,同时直接面对消费者的销售,直营收入毛利率是比较可观的。”

2021年,公司全年实现总营收1094.64亿元,同比增长11.71%。去年,贵州茅台的酒类营收约1061亿元,其中,茅台酒收入934.65亿元,同比增长10.18%。2021年,上市公司归属于上市公司股东的净利润524.6亿元,同比增长12.34%。直销渠道实现营收240.29亿元,同比增长81.49%。

6月16日,在贵州茅台年度股东大会现场,公司董事长丁雄军宣布,2022年的经营目标为:营业总收入较上年度增长15%左右,达到1259亿元;完成基本建设投资69.69亿元。

值得注意的是,作为公司实施数字化营销转型的重要平台,“i茅台”上线试运行首日便吸引逾229万人、622万人次预约申购。此次股东大会现场,丁雄军说道:“‘i茅台’注册人数接近1700万。”

中信证券在研报中预测,“i茅台”全年收入有望超120亿元。

白酒板块整体估值修复

除了贵州茅台,白酒板块估值在近期整体大幅回调。中证白酒指数自4月26日以来一路上涨,截至今日,报收2771.42点,近两月涨幅达19.69%。

个股方面,4月26日至今,五粮液(SZ000858,股价185元,市值7181亿元)上涨16.72%,洋河股份(SZ002304,股价173.2元,市值2610亿元)上涨29.5%,泸州老窖(SZ000568,股价230元,市值3385亿元)上涨14.51%,山西汾酒(SH600809,股价302.8元,市值3694亿元)上涨17.59%,舍得酒业(SH600702,股价194.09元,市值644.5亿元)上涨40.15%。

对此,肖竹青认为:“一方面疫情对各行各业造成冲击,但是对白酒行业冲击很小;第二个方面是整个白酒行业的分化在加剧,市场份额向*品牌、优质上市公司集中,这是白酒行业上市公司回归的重要原因。”

“白酒板块整体反弹已两个月,主要还是因为看到经济向好的可能性,疫情的影响也正在减少,估值随之进行相应修复。此外,今年是国企三年改革行动方案的最后一年,很多白酒公司都是国企,今年会涉及很多改革措施的落地。”刘鹏说道。




贵州茅台股票分析报告论文

贵州茅台

1、基本面上600519贵州茅台2021年半年报,公司上半年实现营业收入507.22亿元,同比增长11.15%;归母净利246.54亿元,同比增长9.08%,增速同比有所放缓。公司酒类销售毛利率达91.7%,同比下降0.1个百分点,原因为基酒生产增加、系列酒营收高速增长所致。公司税金及附加率为13.7%,同比增长1.4个百分点,主要由于一季度向子公司销售增加且对超高端产品提价所致,总的来说毛利率保持稳定,销售管理费用有所增加。目前41倍市盈率。

2、技术面上,贵州茅台近期有筑底反弹趋势,股价形成双重底,股价在60日均线附近,1600价格有一定支撑。

3、综合来说,未来几天可以关注该区间的支撑情况,初步预期向好。但一旦放量跌破支撑,建议减仓观望,待下次股价站稳再作介入。贵州茅台当前价位总体处于低位,中长线看好,可考虑长期持有。


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